Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.145775 0.172814 0.203142 0.239633 0.282303 0.330574 0.389279
2025-07-13 0.109904 0.145713 0.190229 0.249438 0.325912 0.421129 0.548436
2025-07-20 0.092435 0.133357 0.188311 0.267063 0.376523 0.522703 0.732058
2025-07-27 0.078887 0.122102 0.183967 0.278242 0.417372 0.614049 0.911789
2025-08-03 0.066006 0.108752 0.173507 0.277667 0.439660 0.680266 1.062416
2025-08-10 0.054073 0.094377 0.158692 0.267384 0.444685 0.720075 1.176801
2025-08-17 0.044131 0.081298 0.143558 0.253724 0.441530 0.745502 1.270016
2025-08-24 0.038722 0.074910 0.138246 0.255043 0.462171 0.809947 1.431554
2025-08-31 0.032894 0.066737 0.128540 0.247148 0.465624 0.845578 1.547916
2025-09-07 0.029546 0.062621 0.125415 0.250393 0.488680 0.916481 1.731615
2025-09-14 0.026382 0.058324 0.121283 0.251042 0.506738 0.979926 1.907906
2025-09-21 0.023195 0.053447 0.115299 0.247192 0.515554 1.026976 2.058251
2025-09-28 0.020220 0.048709 0.109287 0.243245 0.525250 1.079652 2.230971
2025-10-05 0.018802 0.047212 0.109869 0.253174 0.564511 1.194374 2.538251
2025-10-12 0.018132 0.047321 0.113915 0.271047 0.622475 1.352417 2.948891
2025-10-19 0.017023 0.046175 0.114965 0.282384 0.667732 1.489209 3.330264
2025-10-26 0.015266 0.043087 0.111054 0.281801 0.686512 1.572412 3.607692
2025-11-02 0.013175 0.038737 0.103445 0.271373 0.681490 1.603716 3.776409
2025-11-09 0.011202 0.034318 0.094959 0.257518 0.666534 1.611190 3.892861
2025-11-16 0.010208 0.032447 0.092675 0.258856 0.688192 1.703513 4.210418
2025-11-23 0.008931 0.029503 0.087095 0.250848 0.685672 1.739432 4.400973
2025-11-30 0.008252 0.028225 0.085840 0.254140 0.712160 1.846671 4.770801
2025-12-07 0.007546 0.026725 0.083732 0.254798 0.731860 1.939443 5.114940